Shih…signs of war?
Posted by Frugal on January 10th, 2007
The leaders in Iran seem to be way-over their heads, while Israel is always aggressive in pre-emptively defending herself. This looks like an almost perfect “recipe” for conflicts. Iran however would be very different from Iraq or Lebanon. Iran not only is quite strong, but also can potentially shut down the Humus(?) strait that controls flowthrough of about 20% of global oil production.
I can’t nor want to imagine what kinds of social havoc may be caused due to a outbreak of war between Israel/Iran. Oil/gold will most likely go up big time. And I actually believe that US Fed would take this chance to lower short-term interest rate and try to duplicate their success campaign after 911. But it wouldn’t be the same everytime. For one, commodity prices will go up big time. I’m guessing that they may use the core rate that excludes both energy & food, and telegraph that the rise in commodity would be just temporary due to a temporary war.
Anyway. I truly hope nothing terrible will happen.
P.S. I wrote this about 2 weeks ago. Just this past weekend, I saw another more concrete report on Israel’s plan in attacking Iran. And Israel’s plan includes the option of using “low-yield” nuclear bunker busters. I can’t believe it is even considered, my dear God.
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January 10th, 2007 at 8:48 am
You are right to be nervous. The Government makes sure they know more then the public. Why are 20,000 more troops going? I might be one of them going for round two. I do feel its because that part of the world is unstable not because the President made mastakes like he says in Iraq.
January 10th, 2007 at 3:06 pm
Looks like it’s time to go long on gold & oil again
January 10th, 2007 at 11:34 pm
SPC Thompson,
No matter what happens, be safe, and may God be with you.
January 10th, 2007 at 11:35 pm
Mark,
If you don’t have any stake, maybe it’s a good idea to pick something up in those sectors. But as I have said in my previous post, don’t count on a war happening.