Comments on: How long will the good time last? http://www.1stMillionAt33.com/2009/04/how-long-will-the-good-time-last/ A site to share my tips, tools, and humble thoughts on the journey to wealth Sun, 02 Oct 2011 19:26:45 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=abc By: Kirk Kinder http://www.1stMillionAt33.com/2009/04/how-long-will-the-good-time-last/comment-page-1/#comment-5110 Kirk Kinder Sat, 02 May 2009 22:26:58 +0000 http://www.1stMillionAt33.com/2009/04/how-long-will-the-good-time-last/#comment-5110 No one knows how long the upturn will last, but there are too many factors against a turnaround. Granted, the markets and economy are not in synch, but this debt fueled economy has a long way to go to correct. We have massive over-capitalization, enormous debt to GDP ratio, and continued, steady unemployment. This isn't the generic inventory recession like we had in the late 80s and 90s. No one knows how long the upturn will last, but there are too many factors against a turnaround. Granted, the markets and economy are not in synch, but this debt fueled economy has a long way to go to correct. We have massive over-capitalization, enormous debt to GDP ratio, and continued, steady unemployment. This isn’t the generic inventory recession like we had in the late 80s and 90s.

]]> By: Monevator http://www.1stMillionAt33.com/2009/04/how-long-will-the-good-time-last/comment-page-1/#comment-5035 Monevator Sat, 18 Apr 2009 10:58:15 +0000 http://www.1stMillionAt33.com/2009/04/how-long-will-the-good-time-last/#comment-5035 I still think the market is in the 'long-term cheap' range enough to sit in here. If it went up another 25% in the next 6 months I'd consider taking some money off the table. But every great rally in history looked like a bear market rally to begin with. Trying to time these things is very dangerous. :) I still think the market is in the ‘long-term cheap’ range enough to sit in here. If it went up another 25% in the next 6 months I’d consider taking some money off the table. But every great rally in history looked like a bear market rally to begin with. Trying to time these things is very dangerous. :)

]]> By: occdude http://www.1stMillionAt33.com/2009/04/how-long-will-the-good-time-last/comment-page-1/#comment-5027 occdude Tue, 14 Apr 2009 15:32:27 +0000 http://www.1stMillionAt33.com/2009/04/how-long-will-the-good-time-last/#comment-5027 Great analysis Frugal. The only problem is, I came to almost the same conclusion and many others did as well. That being said, stock markets never do exactly what you think they will, so I like to consider the exact opposite scenario and see if I can't make that prognostication sound logical too. Fact is, you need to stay alert and well hedged. If things start panning out the way you think and your spot on with your technical analysis go in with leveraged guns a blazin. Right now I have very low cash positions and have started to cycle out of energy and into emmerging markets I think we could see some optimism there for a while although emmerging markets may lead the way down again so I'm using the index as a counterindicator as well. Stay safe all Great analysis Frugal. The only problem is, I came to almost the same conclusion and many others did as well. That being said, stock markets never do exactly what you think they will, so I like to consider the exact opposite scenario and see if I can’t make that prognostication sound logical too.

Fact is, you need to stay alert and well hedged. If things start panning out the way you think and your spot on with your technical analysis go in with leveraged guns a blazin. Right now I have very low cash positions and have started to cycle out of energy and into emmerging markets I think we could see some optimism there for a while although emmerging markets may lead the way down again so I’m using the index as a counterindicator as well.

Stay safe all

]]> By: Eric http://www.1stMillionAt33.com/2009/04/how-long-will-the-good-time-last/comment-page-1/#comment-5024 Eric Sun, 12 Apr 2009 22:02:06 +0000 http://www.1stMillionAt33.com/2009/04/how-long-will-the-good-time-last/#comment-5024 So for those of us like me who are renting, would you suggest buying a home or not? Does the 8,000 tax credit make a difference? So for those of us like me who are renting, would you suggest buying a home or not? Does the 8,000 tax credit make a difference?

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