Biblical Investing – Great Inflation
Posted by Frugal on May 13th, 2009
If you believe in Bible, what kind of investment choices should you make? One of the most mysterious chapters in Bible is the Revelation which predicts the end time. The most interesting part I would have to say are the seven seals. When I first read them, some were kind of clear, indicating wars and plagues. Some were not so clear at all, like the third seal (Revelation 6:6):
“A measure of wheat for a penny; and three measures of barley for a penny; and see thou hurt not the oil and the wine.” (King James Version)
My first reaction was what does that mean?? A penny? I learned much later what the penny means in Bible. Some versions use a shilling or (the Roman) denarius which is essentially a silver coin about the size of a dime, or about the wage of one day work (Matthew:20:2) at the time when Bible was written. In the New International Version, this is what it states for the same Revelation passage:
“A quart of wheat for a day’s wages, and three quarts of barley for a day’s wages, and do not damage the oil and the wine!”
Once you understand the units, it is more clear. First of all, silver which was the monetary unit was worth much more in ancient time, compared to our modern time. If we use an hourly (federal) minimum wage of US$6.55, and 8 hours a day, that will be $52.4, or about 3.75 one-ounce (28.35 gram) silver coins (at US$14) or about 23.5 denarius (4.5 gram of silver content). We are earning 24X in silver than ancient workers. So either it means that silver is vastly undervalued, or our wages are so much better valued than ancient workers. I’m guessing it’s probably somewhere in between, especially silver is no longer used as monetary units.
Secondly, the other part is that the wage of one entire day can only buy you very little amount of wheat or barley, barely enough to satisfy one man’s hunger. It is obvious that it means at the minimum that there is a great food inflation, if not inflation in general. However, it’s basically impossible to only have food inflation. Food is the most essential commodity. Food inflation will drive all other inflations.
As I contemplate what Bible means for the current global economic pictures, it is also important to note that United States is a predominantly Christian country. I think those scenarios if it comes unfolding could apply to US more than other countries through a US dollar depreciation.
We are obviously not through the current phase of economic deflation possibly until 2012. However, the next phase of great inflation is probably just around the corner. Keep the goal in sight.
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May 13th, 2009 at 3:08 pm
Fascinating. I’m not Christian but who would have thought the Bible would shed some light on human economics. People were paid in silver in virtually all societies. In Europe, centuries ago you can buy a serf’s life for 1 ounce of silver.
September 28th, 2009 at 9:23 am
Very interesting blog. It’s really the big picture over time that should be our goal. A book I picked up recently is called Financial Purity by Jessica V. Psalidas. It’s a book that helps build financial strength in any market by following the most valuable plans and scriptures mentioned in the Bible. As you say, “Keep the goal in sight”.