Here is just some decision flowchart on what I think you should do for your home/mortgages in many circumstances. It’s based on my personal opinion, and you should always consult professionals & legals when it applies. There aren’t many solutions for you besides out-right sale, short sale, refinancing, loan modification, foreclosures, and walkaways. But you should choose carefully on each option. Anytime you choose short sale, foreclosure, and walkways, it’s implicit that you will lose all the amount of any down payment that you have put into the home when you first bought it.
- Case #1: if you are “underwater”, meaning that your loan amount is greater than your home market value, your decisions should be dependent on your loan type.
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- Case #1A: if your loan was a PURCHASE loan, meaning that you have never refinanced your loan since your home purchase, in many states such as California, where there are laws protecting home buyers from loss of incomes or jobs, you should probably walk away from your home. In such cases, you should be protected by state laws, and you should not be responsible for lenders’ loss. The laws however cannot protect you if you have lied about your income and assets on your loan application. Please make sure that you consult lawyers for specific details, because I cannot be responsible for your legal troubles. Please NOTE that if you have a second loan, but the second loan was a purchase loan which you’ve probably paid PMI insurance on, you should still be okay. However, the same does NOT apply to home equity or piggy-back loan. Home equity loans are recourse loans, and it means that banks can theoretically or legally hunt you down, extract all of your current assets and future salaries, until you file bankruptcy.
- Case #1B: if you have more than one loan, and the second loan is home equity loan, you should probably try a short sale first, and then try doing a loan modification. The short sale is better in the sense that your credit is just partially ruined. The banks need to take their deserved losses. If you cannot do a short sale, you should try to modify your loan thru Obama’s home affordability program. With this method, I believe that your credit profile stays the same. However, you’re stuck with your own losses, banks get off the hook, and taxpayers may be stuck with your losses if later down the road, you walk away.
For both of Case #1A or #1B, you may want to stop or slow down on paying your first loan or the purchase loan, so that you can force bank to come to the negotiation table with you. However, you will be risking a real foreclosure. Also, in case #1B, you should continue paying down your home equity loan regularly because it’s a recourse loan.
- Case #1C: if you have refinanced your home loans, then you’re out of luck. Legally, you’re 100% responsible for your loans. Nevertheless, you should try contacting banks for short sales, and doing loan modifications, like in Case #1B. Both will be to your advantages, if they go through.
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- Case #2: if you are at about the same the “water level”, meaning that your loan amount is about the same as your home market value, you should in general try to refinance, and/or short sale if you decide that you don’t want to keep your home.
- Case #2A: If the prevailing rent is still higher than your home cost: mortgage payment after tax benefits, plus any property tax, or potential interest credits, then you could try wait out the downturn (although I think the downturn will be much longer than anyone expects). You should at least try refinancing and see if you can lower your monthly cost. The Obama’s home affordability program will allow refinancing of up to 105% of your home value, if your mortgages are owned by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. You can check that at the home affordability page.
- Case #2B: If the prevailing rent is lower than your home cost, I think you should try to do a short sale, and forget about doing any refinance. Your short sale will be easier to go through bankers. And this way, it will prevent you from suffering further home losses down the road.
- Case #3: if you still have substantial equities in your home, meaning that your loan amount is smaller than your home value, you are financially sound. I would advise to do refinancing through the normal channels, cash out any equities that you can, and hold on to your cash in 5-year US treasury for another two to three years for better opportunities. The best refinancing time is either now or possibly in Oct/Nov if stock markets take a dive at that time.
Here is the Obama’s home affordability page, in case you don’t know about it. If you follow thru the links, you can find out how to verify that your loans are owned by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac.
And for potential new home buyers, my advice stay the same: just stay put and wait for year 2012. Your patience should be rewarded (in my opinion). That $10,000 home buying tax credit cannot come close to the amount that you may gain through further home value erosion.